From Foal To Finish Line™: Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®

Knowing as much as possible about the Thoroughbred and what takes to produce a classic champion has been a passion of Calvin L. Carter who began his research and study of horses in the early 1990s. That research and study led to his creation of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® which is a breeding, sales and racing analytical tool Calvin uses to measure the graded stakes and classic potential of young Thoroughbreds.

Like an intricate puzzle, the pedigree contains many secrets of what champions are made of and everything one needs to know about the horse, from the physical conformational characteristics to the emotional and behavioral traits, can be found in the pedigree if one knows the families, Ancestral Herd that formed the foal.

In 2014, the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® was developed into a software program by Calvin’s brother, Dallas. The profile measures the breeding influences in the five-generation pedigree and it assigns each horse a numerical score and grade ranking which is the indicator of that horse’s potential. The higher the score, the more potential that horse in becoming a quality stakes winner or classic champion.

RACING

In 2015, the software was debuted as a racing analytical tool in Calvin’s Kentucky Derby 141 blog (http://bit.ly/1Jl8aIq). The software picked five of the top six finishers and eliminated over half of the Derby field from wagering consideration. The Preakness results were even better than the Derby and you can read about that here: http://bit.ly/1eaRA4a. However, the Belmont results were best as the software correctly identified American Pharoah, Frosted, Keen Ice and Mubtaahij as the top four finishers in that race. You can read about that here: http://bit.ly/1dqpOAf.

Since then, the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® software has proven to be a powerful analytical tool of stakes race potential and you can see those results in my numerousblog posts and on the Racing Analysis page located at this website.

SALES

In 2017 we profiled 116 yearlings at auction and from that sales list we now have several national and international stakes winners and placers.

Current (Hip 1149): 1st Dixiana Bourbon Stakes (G3)

Standard Deviation (Hip 1630): 3rd Champagne Stakes (G1)

Il Paradiso (Hip 201): 2nd British EBF Crown At Stowupland Novice Stakes

Semoum (Hip 558): 1st Snooty Frox Ebf Novice Stakes

In 2016, we debuted our Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® software as a sales analytical tool at the Keeneland September Yearling Sale. Of 2,334 yearling colts, we profiled 101 colts that had an A or A+ grade ranking. From that sales list we now have 13 horses and one horse from the Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October Yearling Sale list that are either winners or placers in graded stakes and stakes races. Also, four horses from our Keeneland sales list ran in the 2018 Kentucky Derby:

GOOD MAGIC (Hip 845): Eclipse Champion Two Year Old, 1st Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), Toyota Blue Grass (G2), Haskell Invitational, 2nd Champagne (G1), Kentucky Derby (G1), 3rd Fountain of Youth (G3)

FREE DROP BILLY (Hip 104): 1st Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity Stakes (G1), 2nd Sanford (G3), Hopeful (G1), Holy Bull (G2), 3rd Gotham (G3), Toyota Blue Grass (G2)

VINO ROSSO (Hip 528): 1st Wood Memorial Stakes (G2), 3rd Sam F. Davis (G3), Jim Dandy (G2)

SOLOMINI (Hip 662): 2nd FrontRunner (G1), Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), Rebel (G2), 3rd Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity (G1), Arkansas Derby (G1), Affirmed (G3)

KING ZACHARY (Hip 956): 1st Matt Winn (G3)

ARCHAGGELOS (Hip 2138): 1st Grey Stakes (G3)

HOLLYWOOD STAR (Hip 395): 2nd Saratoga Special (G2), Iroquois (G3)

MISSISSIPPI (Hip 888): 3rd Florida Derby (G1)

COAT OF ARMS (IRE), (Hip 446): 2nd Galileo Irish E.B.F. Futurity (G2)

CANADIAN GAME (Hip 293): 3rd British Columbia Derby (G3)

GUNNISON (Hip 474): 1st Tale of the Cat Stakes

WENTZ (Hip 1029): 2nd Frank Whiteley, Jr. Stakes, 3rd Miracle Wood Stakes

STRONGER (Hip 4154): 3rd Smooth Air Stakes

TIGERBEACH (Hip 2001): 3rd Victoria Stakes

BEHAVIOR INDEX

Since the creation of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, a Behavior Index has also been created and it measures the potential behavior of the horse. It allows some horses with low profile scores, grades to potentially be moved up in ranking.

The Behavior Index is significant for breeding, sales and racing analysis but it is especially important in breeding as it shows that some hypothetical foals with low profile scores can potentially be moved up in ranking and have successful racing careers.

The Behavior Index allows some horses that have low profile scores to be competitive up to nine furlongs and only a select few can go on to win races at the classic 10-furlong distance.

For example, Outwork has a low E grade ranking but his Behavior Index indicated that he could be competitive in the nine-furlong 2016 Wood Memorial Stakes (G1). Indeed, Outwork went on to win the Wood, however, in the Kentucky Derby (G1) his grade ranking had him ranked sixteenth and he finished fourteenth.

From foal to finish line™, the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® is a proven analytical tool you need for breeding, purchasing at auction and racing equine champions: http://bit.ly/2E99liF.